Two simultaneous weather systems forming over the Bay of Bengal have heightened the probability of a rare winter cyclone, raising concerns for parts of southern Odisha later this week. Meteorologists are closely monitoring the evolving disturbance, as one system shows signs of intensifying into a cyclonic storm within the next 72 hours, while the second remains under observation.
According to information confirmed by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Monday evening, the stronger system is gradually strengthening and is expected to develop into a depression within the next 24 hours. If current conditions persist, it may intensify into a cyclonic storm over the southwest Bay of Bengal during the subsequent 48 hours.
“The system is likely to intensify into a depression in the next 24 hours. In the subsequent 48 hours, it may intensify into a cyclone. Its location will be the southwest Bay of Bengal,” said Manorama Mohanty, Director, Bhubaneswar Meteorological Centre.
Odisha Unlikely to Face Direct Landfall, But Local Effects Expected
While current forecasts do not indicate a direct landfall in Odisha, the cyclone is likely to influence weather conditions, particularly in southern districts. Light rainfall is expected in parts of Malkangiri, Koraput, Gajapati, and Rayagada within the next two days.
Cloud cover is also forecast to increase after 48 hours, while minimum temperatures may drop by 2–3°C due to strengthening northeastern winds trailing behind the system.
State Preparedness and Monitoring
Odisha Revenue and Disaster Management Minister Suresh Pujari assured that the state is fully prepared to tackle any emerging situation. Disaster management units and district administrations have been alerted to remain vigilant.
He explained that both systems, currently forming over the South Andaman Sea, could potentially merge as they move over warmer waters, which might increase their intensity.
Pujari added that Tamil Nadu and southern Andhra Pradesh are more likely to face stronger impacts, based on current projections. However, he cautioned that cyclonic systems often change course unpredictably, citing Cyclone Montha, which was initially expected to strike Malkangiri but barely touched the region.
Wind Speeds Likely to Intensify
Global weather models suggest that wind speeds over the Bay of Bengal will gradually strengthen starting Tuesday. Gusts may reach 60–70 km/h, and in stronger phases, could exceed 80 km/h.
By November 27 morning, sustained wind speeds may approach 100 km/h, posing risks to maritime activities and coastal operations.
What’s Next?
The IMD is expected to issue a formal cyclone alert once the system develops into a deep depression. Fishermen have been advised to avoid venturing into the sea from November 25 onward, while coastal communities have been asked to stay updated with official advisories.
